Contributions made by Max Feldman and Aditya Fuldeore
As expected, the 2020 NBA Draft went haywire. While the variance chart below suggests that chaos, Isaac Okoro and Kira Lewis Jr were the only two prospects that I felt were selected far too early within the lottery. Udoka Azubuike, Isaiah Stewart and Vernon Carey Jr were large value standouts as well, but this was expected. I have consistently harped on my lack of support for a low post big man with a lack of floor stretching flashes. Aleksej Pokusevski was an expected standout as well because of my lean towards the floor rather than ceiling side of his massive potential. In different, I did expect a few prospects to get drafted much earlier who I was low on, but fell to close to FOG’s value instead. Those in this category would be Grant Riller, RJ Hampton and Cassius Stanley. The bottom chart shows the organizations that hit it big in terms value from FOG’s perspective.
Pick/Team | Prospect Selected | FOG Big Board Ranking Variance From Pick |
| 1/Minnesota Timberwolves | Anthony Edwards | -5 |
| 2/Golden State Warriors | James Wiseman | -1 |
| 3/Charlotte Hornets | LaMelo Ball | +2 |
| 4/Chicago Bulls | Patrick Williams | -5 |
| 5/Cleveland Cavaliers | Isaac Okoro | -6 |
| 6/Atlanta Hawks | Onyeka Okongwu | +1 |
| 7/Detroit Pistons | Killian Hayes | -1 |
| 8/New York Knicks | Obi Toppin | -5 |
| 9/Washington Wizards | Deni Avdija | +7 |
| 10/Phoenix Suns | Jalen Smith | -2 |
| 11/San Antonio Spurs | Devin Vassell | -3 |
| 12/Sacramento Kings | Tyrese Haliburton | +5 |
| 13/New Orleans Pelicans | Kira Lewis Jr. | -11 |
| 14/Boston Celtics | Aaron Nesmith | -4 |
| 15/Orlando Magic | Cole Anthony | +11 |
| 16/Detroit Pistons (from Rockets via Trailblazers) | Isaiah Stewart | -36 |
| 17/Oklahoma City Thunder (via Timberwolves) | Aleksej Pokusevski | -25 |
| 18/Dallas Mavericks | Josh Green | -4 |
| 19/Detroit Pistons (from Clippers via Nets) | Saddiq Bey | -1 |
| 20/Miami Heat | Precious Achiuwa | -3 |
| 21/Philadelphia 76ers | Tyrese Maxey | +6 |
| 22/Denver Nuggets | Zeke Nnaji | -14 |
| 23/Minnesota Timberwolves (via Knicks) | Leandro Bolmaro | -3 |
| 24/Denver Nuggets (from Pelicans via Bucks) | RJ Hampton | -3 |
| 25/New York Knicks (from Timberwolves via Thunder) | Immanuel Quickley | -9 |
| 26/Boston Celtics | Payton Pritchard | -2 |
| 27/Utah Jazz | Udoka Azubuike | N/A |
| 28/Minnesota Timberwolves (from Thunder via Lakers) | Jaden McDaniels | +11 |
| 29/Toronto Raptors | Malachi Flynn | +10 |
| 30/Memphis Grizzlies(via Boston Celtics) | Desmond Bane | +9 |
| 31/Dallas Mavericks | Tyrell Terry | +15 |
| 32/Charlotte Hornets | Vernon Carey | -26 |
| 33/Los Angeles Clippers (from Knicks via Timberwolves) | Daniel Oturu | +1 |
| 34/Oklahoma City Thunder (via 76ers) | Theo Maledon | -1 |
| 35/Memphis Grizzlies (via Sacramento Kings) | Xavier Tillman | -8 |
| 36/Dallas Mavericks (via 76ers) | Tyler Bey | +5 |
| 37/Oklahoma City Thunder (via Wizards) | Vit Krejci | N/A |
| 38/Detroit Pistons (via Utah Jazz) | Saben Lee | -21 |
| 39/Utah Jazz (via New Orleans Pelicans) | Elijah Hughes | +2 |
| 40/Sacramento Kings (via Memphis Grizzlies) | Robert Woodard | +15 |
| 41/San Antonio Spurs | Tre Jones | -12 |
| 42/Charlotte Hornets (via Pelicans) | Nick Richards | N/A |
| 43/Sacramento Kings | Jahmi’us Ramsey | +33 |
| 44/Chicago Bulls | Marko Simonovic | N/A |
| 45/Milwaukee Bucks | Jordan Nwora | -3 |
| 46/Portland Trailblazers | CJ Elleby | N/A |
| 47/Boston Celtics | Yam Madar | -10 |
| 48/Golden State Warriors | Nico Mannion | +18 |
| 49/Philadelphia 76ers | Isaiah Joe | +11 |
| 50/Atlanta Hawks | Skylar Mays | +15 |
| 51/Golden State Warriors | Justinian Jessup | N/A |
| 52/Houston Rockets (via Kings) | Kenyon Martin Jr. | N/A |
| 53/Washington Wizards (via Thunder) | Cassius Winston | +13 |
| 54/Indiana Pacers | Cassius Stanley | -2 |
| 55/Brooklyn Nets | Jay Scrubb | -5 |
| 56/Charlotte Hornets | Grant Riller | +10 |
| 57/Brooklyn Nets (via Clippers) | Reggie Perry | N/A |
| 58/Philadelphia 76ers | Paul Reed | +19 |
| 59/Toronto Raptors | Jalen Harris | N/A |
| 60/Milwaukee Bucks (via Pelicans) | Sam Merrill | N/A |
+ = FOG was higher
-= FOG was lower
N/A=Not on FOG’s Big Board
Ranking top 21 best value picks for FOG:
| 43/Sacramento Kings | Jahmi’us Ramsey | +33 |
| 58/Philadelphia 76ers | Paul Reed | +19 |
| 48/Golden State Warriors | Nico Mannion | +18 |
| 31/Dallas Mavericks | Tyrell Terry | +15 |
| 40/Sacramento Kings (via Memphis Grizzlies) | Robert Woodard | +15 |
| 50/Atlanta Hawks | Skylar Mays | +15 |
| 53/Washington Wizards (via Thunder) | Cassius Winston | +13 |
| 15/Orlando Magic | Cole Anthony | +11 |
| 28/Minnesota Timberwolves (from Thunder via Lakers) | Jaden McDaniels | +11 |
| 49/Philadelphia 76ers | Isaiah Joe | +11 |
| 29/Toronto Raptors | Malachi Flynn | +10 |
| 56/Charlotte Hornets | Grant Riller | +10 |
| 30/Memphis Grizzlies(via Boston Celtics) | Desmond Bane | +9 |
| 9/Washington Wizards | Deni Avdija | +7 |
| 21/Philadelphia 76ers | Tyrese Maxey | +6 |
| 12/Sacramento Kings | Tyrese Haliburton | +5 |
| 36/Dallas Mavericks (via 76ers) | Tyler Bey | +5 |
| 3/Charlotte Hornets | LaMelo Ball | +2 |
| 39/Utah Jazz (via New Orleans Pelicans) | Elijah Hughes | +2 |
| 6/Atlanta Hawks | Onyeka Okongwu | +1 |
| 33/Los Angeles Clippers (from Knicks via Timberwolves) | Daniel Oturu | +1 |
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